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NC and Indiana Predictions. Just Because.
Posted on 2008.05.06 at 09:17I am currently:: predictive
Lots of people make predictions about the outcomes of primaries, some of whom have actually done things like poll prospective voters, others who have crunched demographics, and still others who have crunched lots of polling data.
And then there's me. Going on nothing but gut instinct and cursory blog-entry-reading.
So I'm breaking my weeks-long silence to regale ya'll with my primary predictions:
NC: Obama by 8-10 points, say 54 or 55 to Clinton's 46 or 45.
IN: Clinton by 5 points, say 52.5 to Obama's 47.5.
Until the Rev. Wright decided to do his Buffoonery 2008 Tour I thought maybe Indiana could break for Obama, but not now. And in all fairness to Rev. Wright, if Obama had used the opportunity of his "bitter" comment to actually hammer home a populist economic theme that spoke directly to working class anxiety over the economy and the future, it wouldn't have mattered what the good Reverend was on about.
But that is the pitfall of leaving your economic messaging to University of Chicago economists.
Kick ass and get out the vote.
And then there's me. Going on nothing but gut instinct and cursory blog-entry-reading.
So I'm breaking my weeks-long silence to regale ya'll with my primary predictions:
NC: Obama by 8-10 points, say 54 or 55 to Clinton's 46 or 45.
IN: Clinton by 5 points, say 52.5 to Obama's 47.5.
Until the Rev. Wright decided to do his Buffoonery 2008 Tour I thought maybe Indiana could break for Obama, but not now. And in all fairness to Rev. Wright, if Obama had used the opportunity of his "bitter" comment to actually hammer home a populist economic theme that spoke directly to working class anxiety over the economy and the future, it wouldn't have mattered what the good Reverend was on about.
But that is the pitfall of leaving your economic messaging to University of Chicago economists.
Kick ass and get out the vote.